CyclePig


Jun 20th, 2008 / Cycling Chat / 6 Comments

Open Letter To All Weather Forecasters

Pool of Leaves
photo by ctd 2005

Dear Weather Forecaster,

Like many people around the world I like cycling. In fact, when the sun is shining I like cycling a lot. But I will be very clear here about what I don’t like:

  • I don’t like getting wet
  • I don’t like carrying extra clothes and equipment that I didn’t need on a bike ride
  • I don’t like it when you mislead me, forcing me to either get wet or carry extra equipment I didn’t need

It is particularly upsetting when you publish the current conditions as ‘Sunny’ and I can look out my window and clearly see that it is raining. Perhaps you have become confused into thinking that the weather is entertainment and not about providing sensible and useful information based on science. I am left thinking that the rare occasions the actual weather resembles your ‘forecast’ could be explained by pure coincidence. As the saying goes - even the sun shines on a dog’s ass some days.

As a youngster I held your profession in high esteem. You used important sounding words like barometric, humidity and isobars. I was also impressed by your knowledge of geography and the excellent quality of the maps you would display. It has taken me quite a number of years to uncover your deception but I now know the horrible truth - that you decorate these maps with lies.

This is quite a neat trick where by blurring fact and fiction you can easily mislead the public. And you may be somewhat pleased to know you are not the only industry to employ this tactic - just think about Hollywood and their ‘based on a true story’. Perhaps a topical example here is ‘The Perfect Storm’. A beautiful story of man against nature, of human relationships and male bonding, of men nearly drowning before really drowning. But the true and very sad story is that some men went out on a boat and didn’t come back. So what of their adventures at sea from the movie. Well just like your forecasts they are a great work of fiction. And as for when the real perfect storm hit back in 1991, did you see that one coming?

Although you have repeatedly demonstrated your ineptitude, at least you are not employed in more…lets say…important occupations. For example, I am very grateful that you didn’t choose medicine for your profession - “I can tell by the double swooping life line crossing your palm that your blood type is A”…..oh dear. Actually I can imagine your job interview going something like “If you can draw a nice looking squiggly line and laugh at newsreader’s jokes then you’re hired!”.

It is for these reasons that I am writing to you today. And to help rectify your poor performance following are some requests.

According to the Cambridge Dictionary the definition of forecast is “to say what you expect to happen in the future”. But the truth here is that you have absolutely no idea as you have the predictive power of pocket lint. It is clear to me that your job title of Weather Forecaster is just no longer appropriate. I request that you stop referring to yourself by this title and instead announce yourself a “Weather Fortune-Teller”. It would also seem appropriate that going forward you publish your weather stories next to the daily horoscopes, or if so inclined perhaps setting up a stand at the local fair.

Your profession, if I can call it that, has followed the same dark path as many industries in western societies - taking what may basically be a good product or service and dressing it up with marketing slime (6 minute abs, super size etc). Your offence here is the 10 day forecast. It is clear that you have no idea what the weather is going to be like in 10 minutes, let alone 10 days. I think this is mis-advertising in the extreme. I request that you remove all long term forecasts from your telecasts and publications or alternatively clearly mark them as the fiction they are.

Now if you would prefer to keep your presentation approach as it currently is, it may help your audience to see the true entertainment value in your predictions if you display your weather story on top of some fictional map. Perhaps Middle Earth would be appropriate here and I can just imagine your presentation - “And tomorrow’s forecast for Mt Doom is hot, dam hot!”. This is surely going to help your ratings and put a stop to the bags full of hate mail you no doubt receive.

I hope you can see this letter in a constructive light and will choose to comply with these requests.

Wishing you the best of luck in your future career as Weather Fortune-Teller,
thePig
www.cyclepig.com

 

6 Responses to “Open Letter To All Weather Forecasters”

  1. ArlynNo Gravatar Says:

    Pig, this is stellar! Thanks for the laughs. As an avid cyclist and rock climber, I have been at the mercy of the “Rainmongers” for years. At least here in San Diego (where it NEVER rains) they love doom and gloom forecasts, probably just to keep the crowds off the best routes.

    As a defense, I avoid the middlemen and go straight to the source - the NWS forecast discussion. Here’s a sample
    http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/forecasts/display_special_product_versions.php?sid=sgx&pil=afd

    This discussion contains everything they actually KNOW about the weather and frequently contains phrases like “maybe”, “could” and “we just don’t freaking know!”. Then you make your best guess.

  2. MartinatorNo Gravatar Says:

    Be your own weatherman!

    My favorite web site for weather is http://www.digitalcyclone.com (now owned by Garmin. Prior to that they were known as My-Cast).

    I listen to the weather reports. Then I verify against this site. Then I check the local radar and verify the sites info. At time the weather at my home differs from that of the most local weather reporting station.

    I also love being able to check the weather on my cell phone using their mobile application [http://www.digitalcyclone.com/products/mobile-my-cast/].

    Unfortunately for thePig, this is a US service only.

  3. danieloNo Gravatar Says:

    “It is particularly upsetting when you publish the current conditions as ‘Sunny’ and I can look out my window and clearly see that it is raining.”

    THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU

    Excellent article, and a pleasure to read. I’m posting a link to it, and sending it to my local weather idiots.

  4. thePigNo Gravatar Says:

    Thanks for the great comments and links. It is true that I could be proactive and find a more reliable source of weather information.

    However, this still doesn’t let those responsible for poor and misleading weather information off the hook.

  5. SamNo Gravatar Says:

    Hey Pete
    Was there a particularly unexpected downpour that led to this rant… I mean, blog post?
    Very entertaining!
    Love the site.
    Cheers, Sam
    PS Cheer Cadel home buddy!

  6. thePigNo Gravatar Says:

    @Sam: Thanks for dropping by. Actually it was the other way around that tipped me over the edge. The forecast was for rain, so I packed a whole lot of waterproof stuff for a long day ride, and instead was treated to blue skies all day.
    Look forward to catching up for a beer in Syd!

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